Under the support of mainland officials, the scale of the mainland MOCVD market has rapidly increased. After the rapid expansion of MOCVD machine capacity in 2010, it will continue to increase in multiples in 2011. Recently, the market has spread more. A mainland factory has opened 400 to MOCVD equipment plants. ~500 MOCVD machines are large, causing the order of the machine to be in short supply. The industry expects that the fastest capacity of the mainland MOCVD machine will catch up with Taiwan in 2011, and gradually encroach on the middle-end LED application market from the low-end market. In 2011, the LED industry order cast a variable.
In 2008, there were only about 100 MOCVD machines in the mainland. In 2010, the total number of MOCVD machines installed reached more than 330. According to the information from the manufacturers, the total installed number of MOCVD machines in the mainland will reach about 700~800 in 2011. Some manufacturers are more optimistic to look at 1,000 units, deducting foreign-funded or joint ventures led by Taiwanese companies. The total installed capacity of MOCVD machines in pure land-based enterprises is expected to reach 500-600 units, which is equivalent to an additional supply of LED industry in Taiwan. .
Recently, Taiwan's LED industry has been rumored that South Korean LED manufacturers have signed orders for more than 400 MOCVD machines to MOCVD machine manufacturers, which has shocked the industry, including TSMC and die-leading company Jingdian. However, it is reported that the LED subsidiaries of Samsung LED and LGIT and other two major groups are affected by the sluggish market demand. In 2010, the capacity utilization rate in the second half was greatly reduced. Even in the fourth quarter, there was overcapacity, which was successively thrown at low prices to the mainland market, causing the mainland. The average price of LED epitaxial (ASP) dropped by 10~15%. In 2011, the expansion plan was even more conservative.
The industry pointed out that there is indeed a new mainland Chinese entrepreneur who has set a super large order of 400~500 MOCVD machines to the German equipment factory Aixtron, which has become Aixtron's performance in 2011. It is expected to continue from the second half of 2011. Shipped. Aixtron said it is not convenient to disclose the customer list. At present, the market demand in the mainland is booming, and the MOCVD machine has been filled up to the third quarter of 2011.
The LED industry believes that from the previous example of South Korea's active expansion of MOCVD machines in 2010, it is not a big money to invest in LED upstream epitaxial production. Training professional and technical personnel can not be done overnight, so even though mainland manufacturers There is a lot of money to buy MOCVD machines, but it may not be able to put into production smoothly. At present, apart from the mainland, jLED chip maker Xiamen Sanan, it is unlikely that the Taiwan factory will be threatened in the short term.
It is reported that the total number of MOCVD machines in Xiamen Sanan by the end of 2010 is about 40. It is estimated that the installed capacity will reach 100 units in 2011, and the production capacity will be close to the standard level. The overall output competitiveness should not be underestimated. As for ranking The second and third dry photo optoelectronics and Inspur Huaguang currently have 9, 14 MOCVD respectively, and 17 or 16 units will be added in the next year from the fourth quarter of 2010.
However, the industry is worried that with the large expansion of mainland LED epitaxy/die capacity, the threat faced by Taiwan's LED manufacturers will be even more difficult in the future, because in the past, Taiwan's LED chip manufacturers can dump the output of the products. Going to the mainland market to fight for revenue, but in the future, the low-end market will face competition from the mainland. As the initial stage of the machine introduction, a large number of sub-products will be produced in the process of crystal growth, and the market competition pressure will increase greatly. After the market is finished, it will slowly attack the middle and high-end market, and the industrial order will enter the situation of the Warring States.
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