LED survey: some LED factories were eliminated in the first quarter of next year


Before and after the Lunar calendar, the peak of the collapse of small and medium-sized enterprises, many LED manufacturers have recently begun to strictly control the object of lending and adjust the inventory level. LEDinside, an industry research institute, expects that some of the poorly-performing manufacturers will be eliminated after the first quarter of next year, and then the market trading order is expected to resume, and orders will begin to pick up.

According to statistics from LEDinside, in November 2008, the total revenue of listed LED manufacturers in Taiwan was NT$4,059 million, which was a significant decline from NT$5.7 billion in October. Compared with the same period last year, it was also a large recession (MoM). -28.8%, YoY-36.6%). Among them, LED Chip factory's total revenue in November was 1.559 billion NT dollars, down 31.4% from the previous month; LED packaging manufacturers' revenue in November was about 2.501 billion Taiwan dollars, down 27.1% from the previous month.

The overall output value of Taiwan's LED manufacturers has been reversed from the high-end of 6.1 billion Taiwan dollars in April this year, and the decline has been as high as 35%. Looking forward to the next few months, there will be an inventory factor in December, and in January next year, the number of working days will decrease due to the Chinese New Year.

Observing Taiwan's overall chip factory revenue in November was 1.559 billion Taiwan dollars (MoM-31.4%, YoY-41.2%), the decline in revenue was greater than previous years.

Taking the leading manufacturer Jingdian as an example, the revenue in November was NT$648 million, with a monthly growth rate of -28.2%. In the new century, Optoelectronics' revenue in November was NT$100 million (MoM-28.6%), and the record of monthly revenues and record highs also set a stop. Since the beginning of this year, LED upstream manufacturers have significantly expanded their production capacity. When the economy reverses, the idle production capacity has increased. Some upstream manufacturers' capacity utilization rate has been below the 50% level, and manufacturers are beginning to face a severe test of losses.

As for the downstream LED packaging segment, revenue in November was approximately 2.501 billion Taiwan dollars (MoM-27.1%, YoY-33.3%), and revenue performance declined significantly compared to the same period last year. With the revenue observations of individual package manufacturers, it can be seen that orders for almost all applications have fallen across the board. Whether it is Yiguang, Guangbao, which is quite successful in the field of NB backlighting, or Dongbei, Hongqi, which is mainly based on the white-brand mobile phone market, and even Huaxing, which is known for its special frozen lighting strips, the revenue decline is up to 20%. ~30% range.

LEDinside revealed that many LED industry players said that although they entered the traditional off-season in November, almost all of the application customers began to cut their inventory to adjust their inventory after mid-November, making the revenue decline more than the original. expected. Especially in the Chinese market, the industry boom has been declining rapidly, and many smaller LED packages or application manufacturers have already closed down. For channel vendors, recycling receivables is a priority over selling products, and therefore affects recent shipments.

LEDinside said that there are still some demand in the market, but the peak of the collapse of small and medium-sized enterprises around the lunar calendar, so many LED manufacturers have recently begun to strictly control the object of deposit and adjust inventory levels.

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